Federer has climbed to 2nd in the world despite losing in Shanghai to Murray but is displaying perhaps a touch of weakness (or perhaps just professionalism) by getting in some extra practice at the Stockholm Open, an event he has not entered since 2000.
Robin Soderling is the 3/1 2nd fav with Ladbrokes but he was completely outclassed by Federer in Shanghai last week and the next in the betting, Thomas Berdych (7/1 with ), went out to Garcia-Lopez in the round of 16.
To be fair to the Swede Soderling, he is on home territory here and was cruising to the final last year before being struck down by injury in the semis. He also was a finalist in 2008, displaying some pedigree at this tournament. Being 2nd seed, he cannot meet Federer until the final and perhaps he will have sufficient momentum to beat Federer, once they meet. An each-way bet will give you third-odds to make the final, ie an even money bet, which is also worth considering.
In Moscow, at The Kremlin Cup, Nikolay Davydenko is the 5/2 fav with Stan James to win on home turf and fellow countryman Mikhail Youzhny is a 4/1 shot with William Hill. Davydenko fell out of the top 10 this week after a very limp showing at the Shanghai Masters saw him lose to German player Zverev. Youzhny also failed to impress and lost to a German but he has some form following a win in Kuala Lumpur and a very impressive US Open run.
Davydenko has no form to speak of recently and looks a weak fav here. He shares a half with Jo Tsonga, a 6/1 chance (Paddy Power) for the Kremlin Cup and it would be hard to fancy Davydenko strongly. Youzhny looks a good bet to make the final (half-odds), making the 4/1 at William Hill a 2/1 shot. He also has every chance of winning.