Such are the permutations involved, Vettel can win the race and Alonso can afford to come 5th, as long as Webber doesn’t come 2nd. That’s only the beginning of the confusion as 4 drivers are pushing their cars to the limits and hoping for the best (Interestngly, if the above did happen, all 3 would finish on 256 points).
Lewis Hamilton impressed in Friday’s practice, 2nd quickest, and he is 13/2 (Boylesports) to win in Abu Dhabi. Hamilton would require a minor miracle to take the title though – Alonso to retire, Vettel to be 3rd or worse and Webber to be 5th or worse. In short, Hamilton’s 50/1 at Betfred is looking pretty just.
Mark Webber is a quantity that can’t be ignored here. A reasonable practice that did not exactly sparkle means his 7/4 at 888sport to win is looking pretty good. Totesport rank his chances at 8/5 to lift the title but if he were to prevail, and Alonso come 2nd, he would be pipped by a single point.
Boylesports’ 21/20 on Alonso to win the title are pretty fair then, the permutations all lean in his favour. He probably won’t win this race but he can podium, 8/13 at Betfred, something he has done for 7 consecutive races he has finished. The course may favour Red Bull and McClaren over Ferrari but a sensible drive will win the title.
Vettel should find pole (1/1 William Hill) but look out for Lewis ‘Taz’ Hamilton screaming around the course in what could be one of his most exciting drives. He has been known to drive the life out of his cars, regularly ending in retirement recently, but if he gets it right, the 13/2 (bet365) on Hamilton could be quite good value.