Free-scoring Bournemouth can provide the goods this weekend in League 1 while Brighton could find the going tough at Hartlepool.
With only one defeat blemishing their record across 15 matches, Brighton have opened up an impressive eight-point lead at the top of League One and they’re 23/20 with 888Sport to preserve that advantage by collecting three points at Hartlepool.
Nevertheless, the hit-and-miss hosts are hard to predict having managed a series of draws of late as well as an eye-catching 2-0 home win against Peterborough and if they turn up they could give Gus Poyet’s high-flying troops a rigorous examination.
It could be prudent to seek value in other places then and the first place to look is Dean Court where prolific Bournemouth can continue banging in the goals as they host bottom club Walsall. The Cherries have found the net 20 times in seven home games and took only a minute to score the first of five in last week’s FA Cup clash against Tranmere.
Subsequently a case can be made for a match total of four or more goals in this one, at 2/1 with , however, we’re not convinced the Saddlers can contribute to the tally so we’d prefer to focus on Eddie Howe’s men in particular and a safer bet, at better odds, looks to be bet365’s 9/4 for the Cherries to score more than 2.5 times.
Brentford’s last two at home in the league have seen them grab a respectable draw with Bournemouth and defeat Peterborough, while other results, with the exception of the FA Cup stalemate against Aldershot, have been decent. Andy Scott’s charges can capitalise on MK Dons’ travel sickness then as the pair lock horns at Griffin Park, the Bees a solid wager at 13/10 (Ladbrokes) to inflict a seventh away defeat in eight on the visitors.
Elsewhere, Charlton are a touch high at 5/2 with Stan James to nick the points at faltering Peterborough and they tempt at 13/8 in ‘Draw No Bet’ market but that isn’t without an element of risk and instead, also at 5/2, this time with Paddy Power, we reckon it’s worth backing Plymouth striker Bradley Wright-Phillips to score at any time against Tranmere. Rovers concede plenty of goals and indeed they shipped five at Bournemouth in the cup while Wright-Phillips has plundered six in his last five league games. The price is huge.
Brentford to beat MK Dons – 13/10 (Ladbrokes)
Bradley Wright-Phillips to score at any time for Plymouth against Tranmere – 5/2 (Paddy Power)
Bournemouth to score more than 2.5 goals – 9/4 (bet365)