Live on Skysports 1 & 2: Fri 19.45 & Sat 17.20: QPR are beginning to wobble and Forest are 8/5 (Ladbrokes) to cash-in with a win.
A last-minute penalty at Portsmouth in midweek kept QPR’s unbeaten Championship record intact but a first defeat of the campaign must surely be just around the corner for Neil Warnock’s side, who have drawn five of their last six and as this week’s Nottingham Forest have yet to lose on their own patch, there’s every chance that Rangers could dip at the City Ground.
Billy Davies’ side are a tasty 8/5 at Ladbrokes and that looks too high given that the league leaders have looked a little less convincing of late and won’t head north in too confident a mood. Furthermore Forest have been strong at home now for over a season and their back yard is the perfect place for an impressive run to end.
A tally of seven points from nine has pushed Leeds back towards the play-off places and they’ll be confident of forcing their way further into contention by bagging three points at the expense of struggling Bristol City.
The Whites are 5/6 (Coral) to do just that but the value at Elland Road could be in a potential goal glut. Leeds’ defensive problems have been obvious from the off this season but Simon Grayson’s men have also been prolific at the other end, indeed their last eight games have produced an eye catching 37 goals and 21 of those have come in United’s last four home matches.
A tally of more than 2.5 for the ninth consecutive Leeds match looks a certainty then at 10/11 with Stan James and bolder punters might even fancy the clash to throw up four or more, like the Whites’ last four, that tally available at a chunky 12/5 (William Hill).
Elsewhere, Portsmouth possess a modicum of appeal at 23/20 with as they entertain Doncaster, although the visitors’ four away defeats have all come against top ten teams so their record on the road isn’t perhaps as bad as it appears.
Instead, we’ll consider Sheffield United at 5/2 (888Sport) to upset the odds at Millwall. The Blades’ form in general is poor, but they tend to be more solid on their travels and were unlucky not to collect a maximum haul in midweek at Leicester, where they conceded a last-minute penalty.
Gary Speed’s troops have beaten Derby and Hull away from home as well as taking points at Cardiff and Nottingham Forest so they are no pushovers despite their league position and we’re also happy to oppose the Lions, who have won just twice in a dozen league games. The Blades are no sure thing then but at such a big price they’re worth a small interest.