It’s something of a numbers game as Birmingham face Newcastle, with the statistics providing an obvious clue as to the best bet at St Andrews.
The hosts, slight favourites at 8/5 with 888sport, have the Premiership’s worst scoring record on home soil, having managed only 13 goals in their 13 games, but they have also conceded only 13 times so it’s fair to assume that it will be a low-scoring affair featuring fewer than 2.5 goals, an outcome available at 4/6 (Paddy Power).
The case for that wager is strengthened by the fact that the Magpies have found the net just once in their last five matches on the road and only Wolves have managed less away goals than Alan Pardew’s men, whose attacking prowess is also lessened by the loss of Andy Carroll and Shola Amoebi’s injury.
More ambitious punters could even gamble on Stan James’ 9/4 for the clash to produce under 1.5 goals and Totesport offer 7/1 for Alex McLeish’s charges, the most likely winners, to nick it 1-0 while City striker Nikola Zigic has three in his last three and is quoted by Betfred at 13/2 to break the deadlock.
Under 1.5 goals – 9/4 (Stan James)