With some patchy weather on the horizon, Ladbrokes rate a draw come Monday evening at just 10/11. The Test may start damp, drizzle is predicted for Thursday, but the outlook looks reasonable for the weekend meaning England could be overpriced at 11/5 with bet365 to open the 4 Test series with a win and will surely see their 5/4 (Skybet) about a series win go odds-on.
India, looking for a first win at Lord’s since 1986, are also large at 9/2 (Sportingbet) to win the opener but their bowling was forgettable in their Somerset warm-up while Verinder Sehwag is absent in the batting line-up. This should be England’s game to win.
The conditions will promote movement that Anderson can exploit and if Stuart Broad can take momentum from a much needed five-for at County level, losing a day’s play or so may not necessarily mean a draw. Graeme Swann and James Anderson are both 11/4 (Stan James and Blue Square respectively) to take the most wickets, Stuart Broad is 4/1 (Betfred) and Tim Bresnan is 5/1 (Boylesports) while Steven Finn is dropped. Anderson is the pick due to conditions.
With the bat, Johnathan Trott is a good bet as ever, bet365 make him 7/2 to top score while Ian Bell, who looked in great shape when hitting 331 in 4 innings against Sri Lanka, is preferred at 11/2 with Coral.
Paddy Power go 5/6 for a result for either team, as opposed to a draw, but England look a good back at 11/5.