The common consensus is that the formbook should be thrown out of the window ahead of a derby clash but punters would be well advised to consult it as Tottenham entertain Arsenal.
After opening their campaign with defeats to Manchester pair United and City, Harry Redknapp’s men have won three on the spin in the league and Totesport’s 6/5 favourites should have the edge over their local rivals, Paddy Power’s 9/4 outsiders, who have lost their last couple on the road conceding a dozen times in the process.
Defensive frailty has been the underlying theme of the Gunners’ season so far and Spurs can punish the visitors’ vulnerability at the back. The hosts are 19/20 (Sportingbet) to score past Arsene Wenger’s charges at least twice in a match that is 2/1 with Stan James to produce a minimum of four goals and bold punters can tackle Totesport’s 18/1, posted against a 3-1 Tottenham success.
Emmanuel Adebayor meanwhile, has the physical presence to cause his former club’s rearguard plenty of problems and chalk him up at a tasty 5/1 to break the deadlock; alternatively Adebayor is 11/10 with Boylesports to find the net at any stage and Betfred make the powerful striker a tempting 10/3 to score in a home win.
Also in the Premiership, Partybets rate Chelsea at 8/15 to get the better of struggling Bolton at the Reebok Stadium, where Ladbrokes’ 11/4 for Andre Villas-Boas’ side to nick it by a one-goal margin catches the eye. Stoke could again suffer from post-European game fatigue and they’re 9/4 (bet365) to share the spoils with Swansea while the stalemate, at 5/2 with Skybet is also the best bet in the West London derby between Fulham and QPR.
Emmanuel Adebayor to score and Tottenham to win – 10/3 (Betfred)
Tottenham to beat Arsenal 3-1 – 18/1 (Totesport)
Chelsea to beat Bolton by one – 11/4 (Ladbrokes)
Fulham and QPR to draw – 5/2 (Skybet)