“Only romantics believe Denmark can overhaul Germany,” quipped one radio pundit on Wednesday after the Danes had lost, cruelly, to a late Portuguese winner in Lviv. Bookies appear to agree with Stan James offering 11/2 against a shock Danish success on Sunday night, whereas William Hill chalk 4/6 about the Germans winning Group B with maximum points.
Yet the history books suggest that Denmark are capable of winning the point that could possibly secure their passage to the quarter final. They drew 2-2 against Germany in a friendly in August 2010 and have beaten them on the previous two occasions they’ve met since the turn of the century. It’s a record which adds appeal to Ladbrokes’ 11/4 price posted in favour of the draw.
Not as though there has been much support for Denmark in betting markets where cold-headed realism is the order of the day. Boylesports’ 5/6 for the fixture to yield more than 2.5 goals has been well backed and Coral report steady support for their 15/2 price chalked against a 2-1 German victory.
However, no-one gave Denmark a prayer when they played Holland in the opening Group B match last week, yet the Danes outplayed the disappointing Dutch and won 1-0. It’s unlikely they’ll outplay Germany, but Betfred’s 6/5 for the opening half to finish on level terms cannot be ignored and those who believe Denmark can keep Gomez & Co at bay for the second 45 minutes can get 11/2 (BetVictor.com) for both halves to end in stalemate, although it seems more likely that at 7/2 with Paddy Power, Joachim Low’s side will nick it following an even first period.
Draw/Germany in HT/FT betting – 7/2 (Paddy Power)