• Thu 30 Jun, 2022
  • 19:46 BST
  • 15:46 EST (BST-4)
  • 21:46 CEST (BST+2)

Charlie’s Sunday Hunch

Good ground at Uttoxeter for one of the highlights of the summer jumps season the Summer Plate with a maximum field of eighteen due to go to post.

A fabulous renewal of this valuable prize and a host of potential front-runners. Sizing Cusimano – who did us a favour last time – is one of the likely pace setters but I wonder if the handicapper has overreacted to that bloodless victory by raising him 10lbs.

He is reluctantly overlooked and at the top of a long shortlist is DHOWIN who remains open to further improvement and may have made his bid for glory a shade too soon when nabbed on the run in over a furlong further than today’s 3m 2f at Stratford last time.

The selection has only finished out of the first three once in eight starts over fences and that was on unsuitable soft ground. His Fontwell win on his penultimate start was given a boost when the runner up Premier D’troice won half the track here earlier in the month and I do feel the Warren Greatrex 8-y-old could be overpriced at 20/1 – six places.

Recommendation: 3.00 Uttoxeter – Dhowin

I wouldn’t want too much rain in the Lake District for SEDDON, but I do feel he is well treated at present, and he was left in front too soon when idling and beaten a neck by Fire Away here at the last meeting. They meet on the same terms this afternoon, but I will be disappointed if the Harry Whittington trained 9-y-old cannot reverse the form.

Adrian Heskin is riding at Uttoxeter, so Jonjo O’Neill comes in for the ride and I expect him to be played late after the last. There is plenty of pace in the race with bottom weights Tonto’s Spirit and Sword Of Fate likely to go forward and I hope the selection – whose fast fluent jumping is an asset – can reward each way support in this valuable handicap chase.

Recommendation: 3.55 Cartmel – Seddon EW

There is Group 1 action from the Curragh, and I am looking forward to seeing the William Haggas trained 3-y-old PURPLEPAY step up to 10f for the first time.

Soft ground clearly suits the filly well and there were further showers forecast to hit the track overnight although they had not had the forecast rain at the time of writing on Saturday.

All four of the filly’s career wins have come on soft ground and she was very impressive when scoring at Chantilly in a Group 2 last time. The filly had previously finished behind Concert Hall in the Irish 1000 Guineas but the extra quarter of a mile and, hopefully, softer ground can tip the balance in favour of the Newmarket raider.

The filly cost connections E2m at the sales back in December and the classic generation receive a healthy 12lbs from their elders. She gets the each way vote.

Recommendation: 3.45 Curragh – Purplepay

Be lucky

Charlie

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