• Thu 30 Jun, 2022
  • 19:51 BST
  • 15:51 EST (BST-4)
  • 21:51 CEST (BST+2)

Three to follow on Monday

Westover ran out a sensational winner of the Irish Derby at the Curragh on Saturday and I am surprised to see he is still as big as 8/1 with Corals and Paddy Power for the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp on the first Sunday in October. His knee action suggests he will be at least as effective on soft ground although it was hardly a vintage renewal of the classic with market rival Tuesday, seemingly, failing to give her running.

There is the risk of a shower at Pontefract later today, but conditions are likely to remain on the fast side of good for their seven-race card.

Regular readers will be aware that I am a big admirer of Caius Chorister and the latter had just a neck in hand of WAGGA WAGGA at the line at Salisbury last time – value for me as met trouble in running – and I hope to see the latter get off the mark for Hughie Morrison with William Buick taking over in the saddle for the first time.

The colt is 3lbs higher this afternoon, but he is bred to be better than his current mark and would be something to bet on were it not for the fact that he can be a bit keen and there is no guaranteed pace in the race. The colt has a cracking draw in stall five and do note he has been declared to run again at Chepstow under Tom Marquand on Tuesday evening.

The opening quote of 15/8 with William Hill looks a bit on the short side and I would hope to get 2s or bigger when other firms price it up. That said I think he has an excellent chance.

Recommendation: 3.15 Pontefract – Wagga Wagga

Good ground at Southwell and this is a better race than the modest six runner race that SERJEANT PAINTER won over C&D last week when he could be called the winner from some way out, but he looked one to follow in the short term and he gets the vote for Ben Pauling. That was only the selection’s second start over fences, and he was given a terrific ground saving ride by Kielan Woods although he was well on top at the line.

Wheres Maud Gone has not “gone” on as seemed likely in her Bumpers and she jumped right at Market Rasen on her chase debut. One of these days it will all click for Laura Morgan’s mare over jumps, but I have given up on her in the short term and feel she is best watched at present.

Recommendation: 1.00 Southwell – Serjeant Painter

Fast ground at Windsor for the final day of their three-day meeting and only a small chance of a light shower during the day. The executive are likely to water ahead of this evening’s card.

The last seven renewals of the 12f fillies’ handicap have been won by the classic generation and Qaya could make a mockery of her opening mark for William Haggas as she steps up in distance by half a mile on her handicap debut.

The filly is bred to be smart but there are mixed messages from her breeding as to whether this 12f will suit and preference is for AUSTRALIAN ANGEL who blew the start at Leicester last time and you can certainly draw a line through the form.

The selection had previously scored at Newbury from just a 2lbs lower mark, and the second Zain Nights ran a cracker back at the Berkshire track last week. Talented apprentice Callum Shepherd takes off a valuable 5lbs this evening and I hope to see the filly get back on track – as long as she doesn’t decide to take a sabbatical – to use the in phrase – when the stalls open.

Recommendation: 6.15 Windsor – Australian Angel

Be lucky

Charlie

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