• Wed 17 Aug, 2022
  • 12:06 BST
  • 08:06 EST (BST-4)
  • 14:06 CEST (BST+2)

Four to follow on Tuesday

Only one turf card in Britain on Tuesday ahead of the start of York’s Ebor meeting and there is heavy rain forecast for south Lanarkshire on Monday evening. Conditions are likely to be on the soft side of good for today’s meeting.

Ripon specialist MARK’S CHOICE was 10lbs out of the handicap when third in the Gt St Wilfrid at his favourite track on Saturday and must have a leading chance running off his proper mark today. He was drawn near the stands’ rail – which looked a positive – at the weekend but it was still an excellent effort and Ryan Sexton takes off a valuable 5lbs.

Note that was his first start for the yard of Adrian Keatley who fitted the six-year-old with a visor for the first time. The aid, unsurprisingly, is left on today.

He doesn’t have the best of the draw in stall three today, but he does enjoy a bit of cut in the ground and good to soft would be perfect. He is unproven on soft ground and has not reached the frame in two previous visits to today’s track although he ran well on the first of those starts as a juvenile.

Kats Bob and Surprise Package are considered the main dangers to the selection who has won from higher marks in the past but do watch underfoot conditions.

Recommendation: 3.15 Hamilton – Mark’s Choice

The valuable extended nine-furlong handicap is a cracker, and the market is headed by two unexposed three-year-olds in Glam De Vega and Wilkins with the former potentially very well treated having beat a subsequent winner – now rated 81 – with a bit in hand at Ripon last time.

The classic generation have won two of the last three starts of the race and I would be disappointed if a mark of 83 was the ceiling for this son of Lope De Vega. Note he holds an entry at Newbury on Friday over ten furlongs and he is bred to get a bit further than today’s distance.

The older horses won’t go down without a fight, however, and the form of CROWNTHORPE’S win at Carlisle last time has already been given a boost when the runner up Detective did us a favour back at the Cumbrian track last week.

At a double-figure price he remains well treated from just a 3lbs higher mark, soft ground would not be an inconvenience, he is well drawn for one in stall two and he has won off a mark over a stone higher in the past. Note the eight renewals of the corresponding race have been won by horses drawn: 2-2-1-5-6-5-5-4.

It is possible that Glam De Vega is a complete blot on the handicap, but he is priced accordingly – 2/1 with William Hill – and 10/1 Crownthorpe 4 places looks the value.

Recommendation: 4.15 Hamilton – Crownthorpe EW

MAGHLAAK is the seventh foal of the Guineas winner Ghanaati and the other six are winners ranging between six and ten furlongs. Ghanaati herself finished third over seven furlongs here on debut before winning on her second start at Kempton and I hope to see Maghlaak take a similar path.

The son of Muhaarar ran on well when third here earlier in the month behind a couple of smart types although it should be noted that a 200/1 shot filled fourth just three quarters of a length behind the selection. He is entitled to come on for the run, however, and one of the newcomers will have to be well above average to beat the Charlie Hills’ trained juvenile with the run under his belt.

Recommendation: 2.30 Kempton – Maghlaak

WILLEM TWEE is another market leader who I feel has a glit-edged opportunity in the six-furlong handicap for James Fanshawe and Daniel Muscott.

The three-year-old scored by less than a length at Doncaster last time and is 6lbs higher in the weights, but I thought he was value for more than the winning margin and he remains a sprinter of some potential. Indeed, he is unbeaten in two starts at six furlongs, is well drawn but must show he is as effective on polytrack given this is his first start on a synthetic surface. He must be held in some regard by connections as he holds an entry in the Group 1 sprint at Ascot on Champions Day.

Recommendation: 3.00 Kempton – Willem Twee

Be lucky

Charlie

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