WORLD CUP BETTING: Who is going to get amongst the goals this World Cup? There are a number of candidates, BetRescue picks out some real challengers, some you may not expect.
One of the most popular markets in the World Cup, aside from the obvious outright, is the top Goalscorer market.
It’s a tough market to predict.
Firstly you have a wealth of talent to choose from; Rooney, Messi, Drogba (if fit), Eto’o, Tevez, Villa, Torres, Fabiano, Henry, Van Persie, Ronaldo etc etc.
Secondly, in the last 18 World Cups, the top goalscorer has played for the winning team only 5 times, a disheartening stat at best.
One way to choose is to pick a team that you think will head towards the semi’s or final and pick the player that will perform the best:
Brazil’s Fabiano is 12/1 with Stan James but Robinho is the man who has been shining in the warm-ups, reinvigorated after his move back to Brazil from Man City; Robinho is 35/1 with Bwin, down from 40′s at most bookies. Spain, the favs, annoyingly (for the goalscorer punter) have 2 men who can shine; Villa at 8/1 with Ladbrokes (market leader) and Torres who is 16/1 with Boylesports. England’s Wayne Rooney is 11/1 with Paddy Power but England have multiple sources of goals (Gerrard, Crouch, SWP, Lampard etc) and Rooney sometimes sits deep.
Another way to approach this is to look at ‘lesser’ teams that have some quality and have a main goal getter. One example of this might be Alexis Sanchez of Chile (125/1 with Bet365) or maybe Eto’o of Cameroon, 66/1 at Will Hills. Cameroon have the advantage of an even group they can progress from.
The third tactic, and a BetRescue preference, is to pick a strong team in a weak group who will score goals. Klose in 2006 scored 4 of his 5 in the group, Salenko scored all 6 of his in the group in ’94. So that brings us to Netherlands and Van Persie, who is 12/1 at Victor Chandler. Netherlands have had some good warm ups with plenty of goals and the group shouldn’t slow them down. Tevez can carry on his cracking Premier League form for Argentina, a smashing 40/1 with Coral, the only worry being whether he can start with all that talent in the squad. Uruguay can really capitalise in their even group and Suarez, the star of Ajax, can shine very brightly. He is 100/1 at Bwin.
One last player who doesn’t really fit in to any group is Di Natale of Italy, priced at 50/1 with 888sport. Italy aren’t a hot fav and neither are they are ‘lesser’ team. They do have a fairly straightforward group but don’t score a lot of goals. Di Natale can be the man to propel them through towards the quarters.