Football Betting: Live on Skysports 3: Tue 19.45: Scotland v Lichtenstein; Scotland should notch up a win to take them top of Group I and perhaps lend an air of confidence to their Euro 2012 journey.
Scotland did well to avoid a banana skin in Lithuania last week when everyone thought they would lose, coming away with a point and a clean sheet.
Tuesday’s match with minnows Lichtenstein could therefore see them top Group I with 4 points as Spain are given a night off. The Scots are a prohibitive (but best priced) 1/10 with Stan James while Lichtenstein attract 40/1 with Betdaq. The assumption is the away team will come to ‘park the bus’ for a draw, a 9/1 chance with Ladbrokes.
Scotland will be immensely disappointed with anything but a win and should be ahead by half time. Victor Chandler offer a reasonably fair 4/9 that they get to the break ahead and go on to get 3 points. Lichtenstein can take heart from the fact that they managed a draw in Iceland a month ago, scoring their 1st goal of the year, but Scotland can keep them out – Paddy Power say 3/10 for a Scotch clean sheet.
There are always problems finding value in games that are perceived to be as mismatched as this but perhaps Stan James’ 4/6 that there will be 3 goals or under is a good punt. Contrary to popular belief, Lichtenstein don’t generally get badly thrashed, Spain and Germany managed 4-0 wins but others normally only manage 2 or 3.
Ireland have returned from Armenia with a maximum haul courtesy of Keith Fahey and now face minnows Andorra, a match they are 1/33 with Betfred to win. Andorra, whose last goal came at this time last year, are a massive 80/1 with William Hill to win in Dublin. Realistically, Ireland should look to win to nil, a scenario Paddy Power put at 1/4.
Robbie Keane managed to get the ball in the net against Armenia only for it to be flagged offside and Skybet’s 1/2 about him to score at anytime seems quite fair. Victor Chandler have 23/10 on Keane to score 1st but when a team plays vastly inferior opposition, the chances of any player scoring become a lot higher, making the 1st goalscorer market very hard to predict. Finally, William Hill have 11/10 on the 2nd half providing the most goals, which could tempt due to the fact that Andorra will defend deep while Ireland will take time to break them down. That, coupled with fitness issues in the 2nd half, means the larger share of goals could come after the break.
Kris Boyd to score for Scotland at anytime – 21/20 (Victor Chandler)
2nd half to provide most goals in Ireland v Andorra – 11/10 (William Hill)
Under 3.5 goals in Scotland v Lichtenstein – 4/6 (Stan James)