• Thu 29 Sep, 2022
  • 12:23 BST
  • 08:23 EST (BST-4)
  • 14:23 CEST (BST+2)

Charlie’s Sunday Hunch

The opening day of Listowel’s weeklong Harvest Festival with the Kerry National the highlight on Wednesday.

Willie Mullins has saddled the winner of the 3m Maiden Hurdle twice in the last three years with short-priced favourites and his What Path is likely to head the market on hurdle debut having made all to win a Bumper over 2m 2f+ at the Galway Festival at the end of July. There is plenty of stamina in his pedigree and he looks the one to beat, but he is no star – beaten favourite in two previous Bumpers – and RUN FOR PAT gets the vote for Gordon Elliot.

The selection is reunited with Davy Russell for the first time since finishing third to the high-class stayer Falcon Eight at Thurles back in February. He has been a beaten market leader himself in his last couple of starts, but he has valuable hurdling experience and has shown enough to win a small race.

Recommendation: 3.40 Listowel – Run For Pat

If RALPHY BOY TWO breaks on terms, then I am convinced he will run a big race in the mile-and-a-half handicap for Borders trainer Ewan Whillans. The selection is noted in the formbook as being slowly away over today’s C&D last time and, in reality, he lost all chance given he must have lost at least 10 lengths at the start.

To be beaten just over 4L last time was an excellent effort in the circumstances and he did win over C&D on his penultimate start from just a 2lbs lower mark. The selection is closely matched with market leader Clan Jock on recent form, and I am surprised to see the selection double the price of the top-weight.

Recommendation: 4.00 Hamilton – Ralphy Boy Two

Be lucky

Charlie

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