Roger Federer rolls into Paris as the 9/4 fav with Boylesports in the last tournament before the World Tour Finals in London and leads a strong field. 16 of the top 20 are present, Nadal the only absentee from the top 10 as he rests up.
Andy Murray slots in as 3rd seed and William Hill’s 6/1 3rd fav but he might not get a lot of joy; he shares a quarter with Cilic and Monfils and a half with Federer. Murray was a bit disappointing last time out in Valencia, losing to Juan Monaco and it’s hard to see that he will really strain himself in this event, especially considering he has comfortably qualified for the World Finals, he will simply not risk injury for extra points if he doesn’t have to.
Federer is an obvious choice and perhaps a worthy fav but Novak Djokovic, the 2009 champion, is worth considering at 7/2 (Stan James). He shares a quarter with Berdych (33/1 Betdaq) but the Czech has failed to impress over the last few months, reaching a couple of quarters. He also must battle passed former winner Davydenko and the latter could have it all his own way up to the semi’s.
Robin Soderling, 12/1 at Blue Square, looks to have a solid chance of making that semi with Djokovic, where the latter can progress from. Djokovic has 3 finals and a semi to his name in the last 4 outings and you shouldn’t back against him going all the way here to keep hold of his winner’s trophy.
David Ferrer is a wonderful outside chance at 25/1 with Boylesports but unfortunately must share a quarter with Federer. The Spaniard turned around a losing streak to Soderling by beating him in Valencia semi’s (which he went on to win) and did well to reach the final in Beijing 1000 in October. He has a chance and should Federer fall (or Ferrer beat him), he will be a very tough opponent in the final.